XRP (XRP) has lost greater than 40% since he reached a high of three.40 USD several years in January, and Onchain data indicate that the downward trend could deepen in the approaching weeks.
“Rejection” before the 75-90% XRP crashes is back
Netto -netto -netto -netto -netto -Nnetto data (Neps) from Glassnode suggests that the token may result in further prolonged downturn.
The metric, which measures the aggregated unrealized profits or losses from XRP owners, has historically served as a reliable barometer for potential trend reversations. In previous market cycles, the Nupl has reached its peak within the so -called “euphoria” zone shortly before the primary prices.
In 2018, XRP rose over $ 3.00 when Nupl only signaled the acute optimism, only 90% to collapse to lower than $ 0.30, for the reason that mood deteriorated by “Denial” in “give up”.
XRP Nupl historical performance diagram. Source: Glasnode
An analogous pattern played out in 2021 when XRP reached USD 1.96 before it turned 75% to $ 0.50, while a pointy shift of euphoria to fear.
Until March 2025, the Nupl -Nupl -Nupl -nupl has entered the “Denial” zone again, whereby the worth after a powerful rally acted around $ 2.50. If the pattern applies, XRP could proceed to be comparable to the bear markets in 2018 and 2021.
XRP/USD Weekly Price Chart. Source: Tradingview
XRP is now exposed to similar risks and after a rally of 585% in only two months between USD 1.80 and three.40.
The rally accelerated after the Pro crypto candidate Donald Trump won the US presidential election, while speculation concerning the potential victory of Ripple in his SEC lawsuit and the possible approval of a spot XRP ETF grew in 2025.
Due to those supportive foundations, some dealers said that the continuing consolidation of XRP could finally result in an outbreak. This includes the market analyst Stellar Babe, who expects the worth of XRP, to realize 450%.
Technical fractal indicates that XRP overrides
The weekly diagram of XRP indicates that a Bärischer Fraktal from 2021 can develop again.
In 2021 and 2025, the XRP price formed an area top, while the RSI printed a lower tall, signaled bear divergence and weakened upwards.
XRP/USD Weekly Price Chart. Source: Tradingview
As early as 2021, this divergence was a sell-off of 85.50%, which broke under the 50-week (the red wave) and 200 weeks (the blue wave) exponential moving average (EMA).
In 2025, XRP once more showed an identical RSI divergence, followed by a decrease of 40%in comparison with its latest heights. It now risks an extended decline towards the 50-week EMA at around $ 1.58, which was the present price in June in comparison with the present price.
If the correction is deepened and breaks below the 50-week EMA support, the story indicates that XRP could proceed to slip towards the 200-week EMA by $ 0.87 or about 60% from the present price level.
This article doesn’t contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trade movement is the chance, and readers should perform their very own research results in the event that they make a choice.
