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Bitcoin price went through the ultimate days of 2025, trying but failing to interrupt above $90,000 after weeks of downward moves ultimately failed defend this level until the top of the yr. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,750, meaning it ended 2025 below $100,000.
This price motion has put additional pressure on sentiment, and better timeframe indicators suggest increasing exhaustion. According to a 3-month candlestick evaluation by analyst Greeny than most traders currently understand.
3-month bearish engulfing suggests weakness
Technically Analysis of Bitcoin's price movement over the 3-month candle period shows that the cryptocurrency has just printed a significant bearish engulfing candle that has completely overtaken the previous quarterly advance. This variety of candle is rare on such a high timeframe and typically indicates a decisive shift on top of things from buyer to seller.
The chart shared by Greeny shows that this engulfing structure formed after Bitcoin didn’t sustain above its 2025 goal Highs above $120,000 in October, and that shows that the Year resulted in sales.
Interestingly, $106,700 is now a crucial level going forward because it corresponds to the low of the previous 3-month candle. With Bitcoin now trading below this zone, it’s moving from support to a robust resistance area for price motion in the primary quarter. Any attempt at recovery in early 2026 would need to convincingly recapture this level to avoid further rejection.
Additionally, the stochastic level near $108,000 is one other vital level to look at for Bitcoin price motion in the primary quarter of 2026. According to Greeny, if Bitcoin price closes below this zone after the primary quarter, it will indicate continued downward pressure. Together, these levels form a decent ceiling, meaning even strong recovery rallies could struggle Transition into sustainable upward trends as we move into the brand new yr.
Bitcoin 3-month candlestick price chart: @greenytrades on X
Stochastic exhaustion suggests a possible peak within the cycle
Another worrying element of Greeny’s evaluation focuses on the stochastic indicator. According to the analyst, that is the primary time in Bitcoin's history that stochastics have reached the eightieth percentile within the three-month period. This is otherwise notable because it is a zone generally related to exhaustion and a neighborhood or bullish cycle top.
The chart also shows the red moving average crossing the blue while well below the stochastic band, a configuration that Greeny interprets as confirmation of a neighborhood top. This setup likely signals the top of the present bull cycle and can only be invalidated if Bitcoin manages to shut above $108,000 by the top of March.
Liquidity conditions across the crypto market tightened through the top of 2025 as Central The Bank of Japan remained in place higher rates of interest. This has caused Bitcoin to underperform in comparison with other notable assets. while precious metals reminiscent of Gold and silver rose to recent price highs.
BTC Bulls See Another Rally | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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