In 2025, the XRP community celebrated the long-awaited resolution of the SEC lawsuit, the launch of several US-based spot ETFs, and a surge in Ripple partnerships. Still, the coveted $5 price goal remained elusive, as XRP (XRP) price peaked at $3.66 before falling as much as 50% to a low of $1.58 in October.
Key Takeaways:
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Some of essentially the most bullish events for XRP occurred in 2025, yet it fell by over 50%, underperforming the market.
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No sustained purchases and low XRP network activity indicate weak demand.
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Technicals point to further downside risk in 2026, with analysts warning of a possible dip below $1.
XRP price didn’t reflect any major milestones in 2025
In 2025, several bullish events expected by the XRP army occurred, but XRP continues to underperform the cryptocurrency market.
In March, XRP was listed as a candidate for the United States' Digital Asset Reserve, triggering an initial price surge of over 30%. However, the manager order limited the provision only to confiscated assets (not latest purchases), with a separate preference for Bitcoin.
This disappointment contributed to limited sustainable upside potential and provided symbolic legitimacy but no direct buying pressure going forward.
On May 8, Ripple Labs concluded a year-long legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which was considered one of the fundamental reasons XRP hit a seven-year high on July 18. However, this momentum quickly faded and the worth fell 25% to $2.73 lower than two weeks later.
The last hope for a parabolic XRP rally in 2025 was institutional demand, fueled by inflows into spot ETFs within the United States that launched in November.
These investment products recorded inflows for twenty-four consecutive days, with cumulative inflows rising to $1.06 billion and total assets under management rising to over $1.14 billion.
XRP ETF inflows. Source: SoSoValue
Such a robust start for XRP ETFs reflected confidence amongst institutional investors, but did little to enhance traders' sentiment about XRP price growth opportunities.
The Trump administration is predicted to proceed offering regulatory support for the crypto industry in 2026 and Ripple payments are also expected to experience further growth through strategic partnerships.
But does XRP have a probability of reaching $5 in the brand new 12 months?
Can XRP price reach $5-$10 in 2026?
Over the past six months, the variety of each day energetic addresses (unique users) on the XRP ledger has remained below 45,000. As of December 18, only 38,500 energetic addresses were registered, a 94% decline from a 2025 peak of greater than 600,000 addresses in March.
XRP Ledger: Number of each day energetic addresses. Source: Glassnode
XRP lost over 90% of its value inside 12 months of reaching its all-time high in 2018, and that was well before the SEC lawsuit.
Another drop of this magnitude will not be out of the query considering the token has already fallen greater than 40% from its multi-year high of over $3.66. In other words, it’s going to be a giant challenge for XRP to succeed in $5 in 2026.
XRP price decline from all-time high. Source: Glassnode
In fact, the technical setup shows that XRP could decline much farther from here.
XRP has lost key levels: the psychological level at $2 and the 50-week exponential moving average (SMA) at $1.87, a signal that previously marked cycle tops.
A key area of interest is between the 100-week EMA, currently at $1.85, and $1.80 (the November 21 low), the lack of which might trigger one other cascade of long liquidations, with local lows at $1.61 being the subsequent area of interest.
Below this, the 200-day EMA at 1.38 could provide some respiration space where bulls could regroup before attempting one other recovery.
XRP/USD weekly chart. Source: TradingView
However, many analysts imagine that the XRP price has peaked and warn of a deeper price correction by 2026.
Veteran trader Peter Brandt said the presence of a “potential double top” pattern could see XRP fall below $1 in the approaching weeks or months.
XRP/USD weekly chart. Source: Peter Brandt
In contrast, other analysts like Chad Steingraber are confident that XRP price could rise “from $2 to $10” in 2026, citing continued spot ETF inflows and more bullish technicals on higher time frames.
This article doesn’t contain any investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading activity involves risks and readers should conduct their very own research when making their decision. While we attempt to supply accurate and up-to-date information, Cointelegraph doesn’t guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the data in this text. This article may contain forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph is not going to be answerable for any loss or damage arising out of your reliance on this information.
This article doesn’t contain any investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading activity involves risks and readers should conduct their very own research when making their decision. While we attempt to supply accurate and up-to-date information, Cointelegraph doesn’t guarantee the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the data in this text. This article may contain forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph is not going to be answerable for any loss or damage arising out of your reliance on this information.
