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Bitcoin struggles to achieve $90,000 as ETFs absorb retail demand and on-chain activity declines

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Bitcoin (BTC) is trading worryingly near $90,000 as a combination of macroeconomic caution, declining liquidity and changing market structure proceed to weigh on price motion.

Related reading: Wall Street makes waves in explosive $500 million deal

What was once a retail-driven ecosystem is now increasingly dominated by institutional flows, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracting significant assets while on-chain activity trends in the other way. The result’s a market that’s moving, but with very different participation patterns than in previous cycles.

BTC price is trending downwards on the day by day chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview

Bitcoin ETF flows are rising while retail activity is falling

Since the launch of US spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024, the network has seen a gentle decline in lively on-chain addresses. Analysts attribute this partially to the “convenience trade,” where retail investors select to realize exposure through traditional brokerage accounts quite than manage their very own Bitcoin wallets.

BlackRock's IBIT and similar products at the moment are covering a growing share of BTC demand, whilst the blockchain itself is seeing a decline in base participation.

Industry experts argue that this shift is fundamentally changing the way in which value circulates within the Bitcoin economy. ETF issuers, quite than miners or network users, now capture a better share of revenue.

Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, describes this as a structural tipping point towards off-chain monetization, with Bitcoin functioning as a financial instrument quite than a peer-to-peer asset.

BTC price pressure intensifies at the side of macro events

Bitcoin’s recent price behavior reflects each macroeconomic uncertainty and intraday volatility patterns. BTC has repeatedly slipped below $90,000, despite developments that may historically support bullish sentiment, resembling Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy)'s recent purchase of over 10,600 BTC.

Traders remain cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision as expectations for a quarter-point rate cut remain high. But the hesitation is clear: rallies towards $92,000 proceed to face resistance and liquidity in spot and derivatives markets stays low.

Therefore, analysts warn that Bitcoin must stay above a key support level near $88,000 to avoid a deeper downtrend.

The dynamics of institutional trading shape market movements

A growing variety of analysts indicate that predictable sell-offs across the U.S. market open are attributable to coordinated execution quite than organic selling.

Market watchers indicate that high-frequency firms like Jane Street, which hold large ETF positions, could also be contributing to those recurring patterns. The continuity of those declines, while unproven, has contributed to traders' frustration.

Meanwhile, miners face their very own pressures. The price of hash has fallen to close record lows, prompting operators to show to AI infrastructure as mining profitability declines.

Related reading: CEOs of leading banks to debate crypto market structure with US senators this week

With ETFs absorbing demand, macroeconomic signals driving sentiment, and miners restructuring their operations, Bitcoin now finds itself at a pivotal moment, supported by institutional capital but without the retail impulse that when defined its cycles.

Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

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