Dogecoin (DOGE) appears to be stagnant to many traders, but technical analysts point to a well-recognized fractal pattern that has preceded larger rallies previously, suggesting that the present consolidation could possibly be setting the stage for a future move.
The fractal pattern reflects DOGE’s past accumulation phases. $0.138 is cited as a key threshold for recovery
Source: X
According to an analyst at Cryptollica, DOGE's broader price structure resembles a historical four-point fractal, showing clear accumulation phases before significant bullish moves. The pattern places DOGE at what the analyst known as “Point 4,” a phase comparable to previous consolidation zones that preceded bullish moves in previous cycles.
At the time of writing, Dogecoin was trading at around $0.12 and remained in an prolonged range following the recent market volatility.
DOGE/USD day by day price chart. Source: CoinMarketCap
The fractal pattern reflects DOGE’s past accumulation phases
The evaluation highlights the formation of a rounded bottom, a technical structure that happens when price motion spends an prolonged time period in areas of low volatility before trending higher. Cryptollica noted that previous phases of this pattern – known as Zone 1 and Zone 2 – represented long periods of market inactivity and accumulation. In the 2021 cycle, the analyst said, similar behavior in Zone 2 served as a platform for Dogecoin's eventual rally.
In the present setup, Zone 4 shows the value stabilizing again to a rounded base, suggesting that accumulation could possibly be going down. Fractal theory posits that price movements often repeat structurally similar patterns across market cycles, and proponents argue that this historical similarity could offer insights into future behavior.
Adding to the fractal perspective, Cryptollica pointed to Dogecoin's weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), which recently returned to a baseline near the 32 level of the oscillator. According to the chart shared, similar RSI behavior – with the indicator approaching this level – corresponded to macro lows at previous fractal points.
Analysts focused on momentum indicators argue that prolonged periods near key RSI support zones could reflect easing selling pressure and potentially open the door for renewed buying interest. However, they emphasize that such readings should not timing tools and don’t guarantee an quick trend reversal.
$0.138 is cited as a key recovery threshold
In a separate technical update, crypto analyst Kevin identified $0.138 as a critical level for Dogecoin on multi-day and weekly charts. In his view, conquering this level would take DOGE back above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement and its 200-week easy moving average, thresholds often viewed by chart analysts as indicators of structural strength.
Source: X
Kevin noted that a sustained rise above $0.138 would likely be accompanied by broader market strength, especially if Bitcoin is in a position to reclaim the $88,000-$91,000 zone. Bitcoin's ability to stabilize and resume an uptrend is usually seen as a catalyst for risk assets, including major altcoins.
Until these technical conditions are met, Dogecoin will remain in what analysts call the long-term dollar-cost averaging zone. This area shows a period of consolidation where price fluctuates and not using a clear directional breakout, often waiting for a macro trigger corresponding to a reversal in Bitcoin or broader risk sentiment.
