HomeBlockchainTrump fought against the bond market, the bond market won: Saifedean Ammous

Trump fought against the bond market, the bond market won: Saifedean Ammous

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Analysts criticize the financial effects of US President Donald Trump's import tariffs, a development that some say that Bitcoin's unique economic real estate are emphasized in times of world uncertainty.

Trump's 90-day break to higher mutual tariffs, which they return to a base of 10% for many countries, in response to critics, has uncovered weaknesses on the US bond market.

Economists and creator of Bitcoin Standard, Saifedean Ammous, said Trump's decision to reverse the upper tariffs might be a response to rising bond income, which indicates that the federal government's hand was forced.

“Trump fought against the bond market and the bond market,” said Ammous in a post on April 23. “The Gambit appeared to work on the primary day, and the big accident on the stock exchange was shown as a small price for the payment of tax sustainability.

“But then the bonds began to fall, and it became clear how catastrophic the tariffs were and the way mistaken it was to expect that the intentional crash of the stock market market would increase the bond market,” he added.

Source: Saifedean Ammous

The Ministry of Finance delivers a rise after the tariff train

After the announcement of Trump's tariff announcement, CNBC data show that the 10-year financial return has increased from lower than 4% to 4.5%, which is because of a sale to inflation and recession concerns.

10-year bond return, 1-year diagram. Source: CNBC

“The increase in earnings was exactly the alternative of what the administration wanted, and the reverse course on the tariffs half a day after they got here into force, was absolutely devastating for Trump's negotiating position,” said Ammous.

Some analysts, including the worldwide macro -investor Raoul Pal, have suggested that the tariff maneuvers may only “hold” to the USA to attain a trade agreement with China.

“The entire conversation about China, who straps at the chance of Trump, now sounds funny afterwards when Trump couldn’t keep his tariffs for 2 days,” said Ammous, adding that China “showed absolutely no tendency” to attain a deal.

Delays when reaching a trade agreement can limit the recovery of stock and cryptocurrency markets, which, in response to Nansen analysts, weaken from the outcomes of the trade negotiations.

In the meantime, Bitcoin (BTC) is “less like a technical inventory and more like protection against economic uncertainty” after Trump signaled a “significant reduction in tariffs to Chinese goods”, said the Nexo shipping analyst Iliya Kalchev.

Trade wars change the necessity for a Bitcoin standard

The situation has revived long-term proposals to support the US dollar with Bitcoin.

Ammous said that the USA should proceed to purchase BTC until the federal government keeps enough to support the dollar offer, and ultimately switch to a Bitcoin standard:

“Buy Bitcoin until the worth of the Bitcoin held by the US government is sufficient to support the whole US dollar offer, after which a Bitcoin standard during which dollar for Bitcoin might be redeemed, and the federal government never spend greater than it deserves.”

Historically speaking, the dollar was redeemed by gold and redeemable for a set amount of the valuable metal until 1933, when President Franklin D. Roosevelt suspended the gold converts in response to the worldwide economic crisis.

In 1971 President Richard Nixon stopped the conversion of the dollar into gold and aimed to guard the US gold reserves and stabilize the economy, with the start of the Fiat currency system that is still to today.

Bitcoins Fixed Supply, which is firmly coded in his tokenomics, makes it a preferred digital competitor for gold.

Joe Burnett, director of market research at Unchained, predicted that Bitcoin could compete or exceed the market capitalization of gold in the subsequent decade, and predicted that the Bitcoin price will surpass 1.8 million dollars by 2035.

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