The latest evaluation from ARK Invest confirms that Bitcoin will still reach a price of nearly $1 million in 2030 as a result of increasing adoption.
Cathie Wood's ARK Invest predicts that digital assets could grow right into a $28 trillion market by 2030, with growth primarily linked to Bitcoin's increasing adoption and its potential price rise.
ARK estimated in its Big Ideas 2026 report on Wednesday that the crypto market would grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 61% to succeed in its $28 trillion goal by 2030, adding that Bitcoin could account for 70% of that number.
Source: Cointelegraph
Given that roughly 20.5 million Bitcoin (BTC) are expected to have been mined by 2030, the value of Bitcoin in such a scenario could possibly be between $950,000 and $1 million.
“Bitcoin is emerging because the leader of a brand new institutional asset class,” ARK Invest said, noting that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and Bitcoin firm holders have increased their share of Bitcoin’s total supply from 8.7% to 12% in 2025.
Last February, Wood said that Bitcoin could reach a price of as much as $1.5 million over the identical period.
Bitcoin price change in 2025 and key institutional milestones. Source: ARK Invest
The asset manager said the expansion is also as a result of increasing adoption of decentralized finance, stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), with top smart contract chains corresponding to Ethereum and Solana expected to learn essentially the most.
ARK predicted that these smart contract platforms could grow to $6 trillion at a CAGR of 54% by 2030, noting that they currently generate roughly $192 billion in annual revenue with a mean take rate of 0.75%.
Total capital secured via various blockchains. Source: ARK Invest
However, ARK said that the cryptocurrencies behind these smart contract chains will likely derive a bigger portion of their market capitalization from their store of value and reserve asset characteristics than from discounted money flows.
The tokenized RWA could reach $11 trillion
ARK also announced that $11 trillion price of RWAs will likely be tokenized by 2030 because it expects greater regulatory clarity and improved institutional infrastructure.
Data from RWA.xyz states that $22.25 billion price of RWAs are tokenized on-chain, meaning the market would wish to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 245.8% to succeed in ARK's goal.
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