Litecoin (LTC) reached its record high of over $400 in May 2021. At the start of 2026, the so-called silver crypto was trading for around $83, almost 80% below the said milestone.
Litecoin's evergreen trendline suggests 100% gains for now, macro liquidity, rate of interest cuts and whether on-chain data supports a rally in 2026
Two-week LTC/USDT price chart
Could this be the yr LTC reaches its glorious peak again? Let's investigate.
Litecoin’s evergreen trendline suggests a 100% gain for now
Litecoin's long-term chart shows a recurring pattern that has quietly defined the lows of its major cycle: repeated jumps from a rising, multi-year ascending trend line. Since 2018, LTC has tested this support several times, and every successful defense has been preceded by a major bullish phase.
A notable example occurred in 2019 when Litecoin rebounded from this trendline and gained greater than 550% in the next months. The same structure emerged within the 2020-2021 cycle. After briefly dipping into the identical support zone, LTC rallied nearly 1,600% and eventually broke above $400 within the spring 2021 bull market.
Two-week LTC/USDT price chart. Source: TradingView
More recently, Litecoin defended this trendline again in 2023 and 2024, producing smaller but still respectable moves within the 180% to 200% range. While these rallies didn’t trigger a full cycle breakout, they reinforced the trendline's role as a structural accumulation zone reasonably than a breakdown point.
The current setup looks familiar to me. LTC is once more bouncing off this long-term support.
However, progress up to now stays measured from a technical perspective, which speaks more to realistic interim expectations than immediate, cycle-high ambitions. If history rhymes, Litecoin could initiate a continuation of the move towards the $100-$162 zone – an area consistent with previous resistance levels and key Fibonacci retracement bands.
A return to record highs above $400 would likely require a broader, sustained risk cycle reasonably than a standalone technical breakout. Currently, the chart suggests that recovery potential is constructing, however the gap to all-time highs stays significant.
Macro liquidity, rate of interest cuts and whether on-chain data supports a rally in 2026
Beyond the chart, macroeconomic conditions could quietly move in Litecoin's favor in 2026.
Expectations of easing financial conditions, driven by possible rate of interest cuts and increasing global liquidity, have historically benefited risk assets, particularly large-cap cryptocurrencies with established market depth. Litecoin, often viewed as a high-beta proxy inside the crypto complex, has tended to reply positively to such liquidity expansions.
Global money supply chart. Source: StreetStats
On-chain data provides a more grounded signal. The spot accumulation/distribution line (ADL) for Litecoin has shown a gradual upward trend since mid-2022, at the same time as price motion has remained range-bound. This divergence suggests that spot market participants have been progressively accumulating LTC reasonably than distributing it in rallies.
LTC Spot Accumulation/Distribution Line vs. Price. Source: Glassnode
Importantly, ADL has not collapsed throughout the recent price declines, suggesting that selling pressure has been relatively limited. This behavior is consistent with a market transitioning from aggressive distribution to longer-term positioning. The metric supports the case that Litecoin's current base is built on accumulation reasonably than speculative excess.
Litecoin may not rise to a record high in 2026, however it appears to be preparing for such scenarios in the approaching years.
