Hedera's native token HBAR has seen a major recovery through 2026, recovering greater than 220% from its December 2024 low at $0.041.
HBAR bull flag pattern suggests $0.82 goal. What Could Change the Bullish HBAR Outlook?
HBAR/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView
The rally marked one among HBAR's strongest multi-month performances in years, briefly sending prices higher toward $0.40 before the momentum cooled. Since then, the market has moved into consolidation mode, however the structure of this pullback keeps bullish expectations firmly alive. Let's examine how.
The HBAR bull flag pattern points to the $0.82 goal
After peaking near $0.40, HBAR slipped right into a descending channel characterised by lower highs and stable support – a structure that closely resembles a classic bull flag. This pattern typically forms after a robust, impulsive rally followed by a controlled pullback that enables momentum to be restored without breaking the general uptrend.
HBAR/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView
Bull flags often resolve with a sustained breakout, with upside objectives measured by extending the peak of the previous rally from the breakout point. Using this method, HBAR’s potential upside is around $0.82, roughly double current levels and consistent with key Fibonacci extensions on the upper timeframe.
HBAR also stays above its long-term moving averages, reinforcing the view that the larger bullish structure remains to be intact. A break above the flag's upper boundary would likely confirm trend continuation, while a break below support could delay the move.
If the setup proves successful, $0.82 emerges as a reputable upside goal for 2026 moderately than an extreme or speculative prediction. This is a rise of over 750% from current price levels.
In January, HBAR showed signs of recovery after testing the flag's lower trendline as support, increasing the likelihood of reaching the upper trendline goal in the primary quarter of 2026 at around $0.245. This level coincides with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement line.
What Could Change the Bullish HBAR Outlook?
Hedera's 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave), currently around $0.142, could put an end to its upward attempts in January.
HBAR/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView
A pullback from wave resistance could push HBAR price to the $0.07-0.11 range, which coincides with the 0.236-0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. This puts the token prone to losing the flag's lower trendline support, which could increase its freefall potential towards lower Fib lines, most notably the $0.04 level.
